Mark Howard Publications Ltd

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One Jump Ahead

The Top National Hunt Horses To Follow for 2016/2017

Foreword by Nick LUCK, Channel 4 Racing & 6 times Broadcaster of The Year

Stable Interviews:

Gordon Elliott, Brian Ellison, Harry FRY, Warren GREATREX, Philip HOBBS, Malcolm JEFFERSON (New), Alan KING, Paul NICHOLLS, Ben PAULING (New), David PIPE, Dan SKELTON, Harry WHITTINGTON (New).

Quotes from One Jump Ahead’s Talking Trainers section:

“If fulfilling his potential, he is the best handicapped horse in the yard.” GORDON ELLIOTT

“She is a gorgeous filly who we put out in the paddock during the summer. A junior bumper is on her agenda. I like her a lot.” BRIAN ELLISON

“A very promising young horse who is a hugely exciting prospect for chasing this season.” HARRY FRY

“A very promising horse who we have high hopes for over fences this winter. He has a lot of potential.” PHILIP HOBBS

“He is an exciting prospect for juvenile hurdles and I love him.” ALAN KING

“I like him a lot and he is an exciting prospect for novice hurdles.” PAUL NICHOLLS

“I think he is a lovely horse and one of my top three youngsters. I will be disappointed if he doesn’t develop into a Cheltenham Festival contender.” BEN PAULING                                                                           

“A very exciting horse who was bought to replace our Grade 1 winner Arzal, who we unfortunately lost earlier this year.” HARRY WHITTINGTON

One Jump Ahead (192 pages) also features the following sections:

The Top 40 Prospects – Profit for 10 of the last 15 seasons.

Half A Dozen Handicappers – six horses who look ahead of the assessor, five of which have changed stables since last season

Bromley’s Best Buys – Leading Bloodstock Agent Anthony Bromley highlights his new recruits from France and Ireland. 35 winners last season at a strike-rate of 27%, including ADRIEN DU PONT (Grade 1 winner), BAOULET DELAROQUE (3 wins), HANDSOME SAM (9/1), LE PREZIEN (3 wins) and THE ORGANIST (3 wins).

Irish Pointers – expert Declan Phelan, who has unearthed the likes of Best Mate, Champagne Fever, Finian’s Rainbow, Peddlers Cross etc, picks his 50 to Follow. Last year’s feature produced 33 winners at a strike-rate of 21%, including BACARDYS (Grade 2 winner), GO LONG (6/1), MALL DINI (Pertemps Final @ 14/1) and SHATTERED LOVE (5/1).

French Revolution – over 25 new arrivals from France, 18 of which are trained by Irish champion Willie Mullins. Owned by leading patrons Gigginstown House Stud, Susannah Ricci & Graham Wylie.

Appendix – bigger than ever before – a full and comprehensive analysis of the 2 mile chasers, 2m 4f chasers, staying chasers, 2 mile hurdlers & staying hurdlers

Index

How To Order

Price: £9.99 including postage (except £5 extra for overseas)

Available direct from:

Mark Howard Publications Ltd. 69 Fairgarth Drive, Kirkby Lonsdale, Carnforth, Lancashire. LA6 2FB.

Also available from:

WH SMITH Ltd (ISBN: 978-0-9929224-2-9) or online from whsmith.co.uk

Other specialist horse racing shops:

TINDALLS (Newmarket)

 

One Jump Ahead Updates – VIA EMAIL ONLY

I shall be producing 5 One Jump Ahead Updates throughout the 2016/17 National Hunt season. Each Update comprises information about the horses in One Jump Ahead, an update from top Bloodstock Agent Anthony Bromley, Bumper News, Ante-Post Advice (recommendations for the major races), Big-Race Previews and News from Ireland from one of the most informed Irish experts Declan Phelan. Please note, the Updates are ONLY AVAILABLE VIA EMAIL (Not Post).

It is £6 per Update (except £10 for the CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL version) or £34 for ALL 5 via EMAIL.

One Jump Ahead Updates

PADDY POWER UPDATE – NOVEMBER 2016

Price: £6.00

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The PADDY POWER MEETING 2015

WINNERS: SAUSALITO SUNRISE (7/1), LEAVE AT DAWN (7/2), GARDE LA VICTOIRE (8/15), UNOWHATIMEANHARRY (7/2). Plus: BUYWISE (Advised e/w @ 16/1 – 2nd at 10/1) & SUPER STORY (E/W @ 8/1 – 2nd)

Quote: SAUSALITO SUNRISE was a four times winner over hurdles and he won on his chasing debut last season at Chepstow. Philip Hobbs’ former pointer then chased home Kings Palace twice at Cheltenham, including at this meeting. The seven year old then sustained a shoulder injury when falling in the Kauto Star Novices’ Chase at Kempton on Boxing Day and missed the rest of the campaign. Well supported on his reappearance in a valuable handicap chase at Chepstow last month, he moved smoothly into contention turning for home. However, the Gold Well gelding stopped quickly soon afterwards and was pulled up. Richard Johnson clearly felt something was amiss but he was reportedly sound afterwards. His record at Cheltenham is 3622 and, while this will be the furthest he has raced, I will be surprised if he doesn’t stay. I think he is better than his official mark of 144 suggests.” WON @ 7/1

Quote: LEAVE AT DAWN is a full-brother to Lucinda Russell’s progressive staying chaser Presenting Lodger and he has won 2 of his 9 races for Charles Byrnes. Successful at Thurles and Killarney off 94 and 108, the five year old is now rated 124 (120 in Ireland). He had his first run for five months at Galway in October and, having moved strongly, he got tired late on before finishing fourth behind The Job Is Right off 118. That run should have put him spot on.” WON @ 7/2

Plus: ASHOKA (11/10), DIAMOND KING (6/5, 12/1), KEEPER HILL (5/4)

Quote: “At the risk of sounding obsessed with the horse, I remain convinced DIAMOND KING will win a big handicap at some stage during his career. Featured in the Top 40 Prospects of OJA for a couple of seasons, the seven year old endured a lean campaign last winter and was never right according to Donald McCain. Transferred to Gordon Elliott during the summer, one couldn’t help noticing the enthusiasm with which Elliott spoke of the Diana Whateley owned gelding when we chatted in July. The King’s Theatre gelding had his first run for his new trainer at Down Royal last month and, while he ran well enough in fourth, he would have been considerably closer had he not been caught up in the carnage which ensued at the third last flight. Badly hampered, he stayed on in the closing stages. Not for the first time, Diamond King left the impression he will improve over trips in excess of two miles and he holds an entry in a two and a half miles handicap hurdle at Cork on Sunday (2.30). I will be amazed if he doesn’t win races for Gordon Elliott off his mark of 132. Very rarely does Gordon Elliott get excited about one of his horses when interviewed – he did when we discussed Diamond King.”WON the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival @ 12/1

Quote: “County Clare trainer Ronnie O’Leary sent out Threeways to win a bumper at Carlisle on Monday and Irish expert Declan Phelan emailed me the same evening to inform me that the stable have an even better prospect in KEEPER HILL. A four year old by Westerner, he was entered at Bangor yesterday but didn’t take up the engagement. However, his debut is clearly imminent and he is likely to be the subject of good support when stepping foot on a racecourse for the first time. Purchased for €31,000 at Goffs last year, he is from the family of Champion Hurdle winner Make A Stand. O’Leary has trained 6 bumper winners in the UK during the last five seasons from only 17 runners (35%).” WON on debut in a bumper at Market Rasen by 6 lengths @ 5/4 (19/11/15)

BROMLEY’S BEST BUYS – Part II: WINNERS: BROTHERLY COMPANY (9/2, 13/8), FINGERTIPS (5/2), FOOTPAD (3 wins including Grade 1 victory @ 14/1), TOMMY SILVER (4/6), WHO DARES WINS (5/6, 3/1)

Quote: FOOTPAD: “An exciting three year old prospect owned by Simon Munir and Isaac Souede, he has joined Willie Mullins and showed strong progressive form in two career starts at Auteuil in the spring. His close second on his latest outing represents good form and he is a great looking sort with size and scope. He is pleasing his trainer and should be out later this month.” Grade 1 winner @ 14/1 at Leopardstown (6/2/15)

Quote: WHO DARES WINS: “I bought this son of Jeremy as a yearling for Henry Ponsonby and the syndicate have had a lot of fun with him on the Flat with Richard Hannon this year. He has now moved to Alan King for the winter and I can report that he has really taken well to jumping hurdles at Barbury Castle. He has enough Flat ability to take him to the top of the juvenile tree, so it will be interesting to see how Alan campaigns his juveniles this season.” WON Grade 2 juvenile hurdle at Doncaster by 20 lengths @ 3/1 (12/12/15)

TALKING TRAINERS: Dr RICHARD NEWLAND: WINNERS: DISCAY (9/4), DUKE STREET (7/2), EXPRESS DU BERLAIS (2/1), PINEAU DE RE (7/1), TOP CAT HENRY (17/2), WESTREN WARRIOR (11/10), YOUNG DILLON (5/4)

CHRISTMAS SPECIAL 2016

Price: £6.00

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CHRISTMAS SPECIAL 2015

KAUTO STAR NOVICES’ CHASE: TEA FOR TWO (WON @ 9/4)

PADDY POWER CHASE: MINELLA FORU (Advised @ 14/1 wins at 7/1)

Quote: MINELLA FORU: “The Paddy Power Chase at Leopardstown on Sunday (27th December) is one of the most competitive races of its type. Leading owner J.P.McManus has won the three miles event in recent seasons with World Wide Web (2003), Keepatem (2004) and Colbert Station (2012) and he is sure to be well represented once again this year. Eddie Harty confirmed last week that the six year old MINELLA FORU is firmly on course for the race and, off his mark of 134, I am expecting him to be competitive (10st 8lb). Yet to tackle three miles under Rules, he won a point over the trip for John Nallen and his half-brother Minella Hero won over three miles at Wetherby in May for Micky Hammond. A Grade 3 winning hurdler, he finished sixth in the County Hurdle at Cheltenham in 2014 before sent chasing last season. The King’s Theatre gelding won by nine and a half lengths at Limerick in May (2m 3f) before running an eyecatching race on his reappearance at Fairyhouse last month. Minella Foru stayed on well over an inadequate two miles one in a decent handicap chase to finish second under Mark Walsh. Despite a five pounds rise, he is still rated lower over fences compared to his hurdles mark (137) and is the sort to be the subject of a gamble next weekend. It would be no surprise if this has been the plan for sometime. Eddie Harty, who has done well with the likes of Captain Cee Bee and Sort It Out for McManus, sent out two winners at Navan a week ago suggesting his team are in good form. I feel Minella Foru is worth backing each-way at 14/1 (Bet365 & BetVictor).” ADVISED @ 14/1 WON at 7/1

Quote: TEA FOR TWO will be tackling three miles for only the second time (pulled up in the Albert Bartlett NH in March). A sixteen lengths winner of the Lanzarote Hurdle at Kempton last winter off a mark of 134, Nick Williams’ gelding is unbeaten in two runs at the Sunbury track. Rated 140 over hurdles, he was well held at Chepstow (Silver Trophy) and Haydock (Fixed Brush Hurdle) earlier this season. However, once switched to fences, the Kayf Tara bounced back to form by winning a beginners’ chase by ten lengths at Exeter (2m 3f) this month. The six year old jumped well throughout and looks an exciting prospect over fences.”WON the Grade 1 Kauto Star NC by 4 lengths @ 9/4

The IRISH ANGLE by Declan PHELAN: WINNERS: BIG MEADOW (7/2), CLONDAW CRACKER (7/2), GURTEEN (9/4 & 4/6), STRETCHINGTHETRUTH (13/8)

Quote: BIG MEADOW: “If Bach De Clermont is generally considered the leading four year old to have run in Ulster, then BIG MEADOW is a close second: he looked like a relentless galloper when fending off a quality laden field in testing conditions at Maralin in November in the fastest time of the day. Three subsequent maiden winners have emerged from amongst the "also-rans" giving real depth to this piece of form. Big Meadow is a son of a rather unfashionable sire, Marienbard, hence he fetched £85,000 at a time when lesser horses have made bigger prices. Time will relate whether or not Newmarket based trained Neil King has purchased shrewdly: now hailing from a less high brow yard may mean that Big Meadow may turn up in a bumper and be a very attractive price some day soon.” WON by 14 lengths in a Chepstow bumper on his Rules debut (27/2/16) @ 7/2

Quote: STRETCHINGTHETRUTH: STRETCHINGTHETRUTH (four year old by Gold Well) led home a one two for trainer Nicky Stokes at Dromahane: he moved like a class horse during the course of that race and may have hit the front too soon, he scrambled to a narrow victory: Noel Meade/JP McManus bought him privately in the aftermath of this race. If given sufficient time to recovered from the stiff exertions at Dromahane, he may be a horse to focus upon should he reappear in a soft ground bumper come February or March.” WON @ 13/8 in a bumper at the Punchestown Festival on his Rules debut.  

Plus: ARTHUR’S OAK (6/4, 11/4), ATOMIX (6/4), CAPELAND (7/4), CLOUDY DREAM (5/2), DEFINITLY RED (2 wins),

Quote: CAPELAND: “Paul Nicholls highlighted the unbeaten ex-French gelding CAPELAND as one to follow on The Morning Line on Channel Four last Saturday. A three year old by Poliglote, he won his only APQS Flat race at Le Lion-d’Angers (1m 4f : Heavy) in May by two and a half lengths when trained by Alain Couetil. Bought soon afterwards, he is owned by Kathy Stuart and is set to make his British debut in the Listed four year old bumper at Cheltenham on New Year’s Day (3.40). He is a half-brother to Willie Mullins’ Listed chase winner Urano, who came from the same source across the English Channel.”WON at Cheltenham on New Year’s Day @ 7/4

Quote: YORKHILL: “The dual bumper winner couldn’t have scored much easier on his first run over timber at Punchestown earlier this month. Sent off odds on, the five year old took charge on the approach to the final flight of the two and a half miles maiden hurdle before sauntering clear of another ex-point winner Road To Respect (third has won since). An eight and a half lengths winner, he is clearly a horse with a big engine. Owner Graham Wylie has an embarrassment of riches when it comes to novice hurdlers with stablemates Bellshill and Up For Review also waiting in the wings. I suspect this gelded son of Presenting will prove the pick. He is without a doubt, Cheltenham Festival material.” Three times Grade 1 winning novice hurdler, including the Neptune NH at the Cheltenham Festival @ 3/1

TALKING TRAINERS: DAN SKELTON: WINNERS: CAPTAIN CHAOS (4/6), KNOCKGRAFFON (10/11), MEET THE LEGEND (7/2), MISTER MIYAGI (13/8), SUPERB STORY (8/1), TWO TAFFS (5/2), VALUE AT RISK (11/4), WELSH SHADOW (4/7)

Quote: SUPERB STORY: “Joined us during the summer and he won in good style at Wetherby in October off a mark of 120. He then ran a very good race in the Greatwood Hurdle at Cheltenham last month finishing second behind the subsequent International Hurdle winner (Old Guard). We purposely haven’t run him since but he will go to Taunton in mid February before being aimed at the County Hurdle at the Festival. His form is strong and I think the County Hurdle will suit him.”WON the County Hurdle at Cheltenham @ 8/1

FEBRUARY 2017

Price: £6.00

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FEBRUARY 2016

WINNERS: BETAMECHE (3/1), HELL’S KITCHEN (4/1), LAKE VIEW LAD (5/2), THREE FACES WEST (6/4). Plus: STARCHITECT (Advised @ 25/1 – 2nd in the Betfair Hurdle at Newbury at 16/1)

Quote: BETAMECHE: Dan Skelton has taken charge of two potentially exciting horses for the future. BETAMECHE won a bumper for Nicky Richards on his debut at Ayr in November having arrived at the Scottish venue with a lofty reputation. Bought for €50,000 as a three year old, the Kapgarde gelding was sent off 13/8 favourite on his racecourse bow and didn’t disappoint. A half-brother to the former Paul Nicholls trained Bold Addition, he ploughed through the testing conditions to win by five lengths. Still showing signs of greenness, he is described as a raw horse who will improve with experience. Reported to have settled in well to his new surroundings, he is likely to have one more run in a bumper before being put away.”WON @ 3/1 at Wetherby (1/4/16) on his first run for Dan Skelton

Quote: HELL’S KITCHEN: Harry Fry was enduring a frustrating spell during January with only one winner until last Friday. Thankfully, the tide has seemingly turned with an across the card double courtesy of Thomas Brown and Bags Groove at Doncaster and Huntingdon respectively, plus another at Town Moor on Saturday. The West Country handler has another decent prospect in the once raced HELL’S KITCHEN, if his debut at Kempton last month is anything to go by. A five year old gelded son of Robin Des Champs, he is owned by J.P.McManus and shaped with an abundance of promise when finishing third behind Wait For Me in a two mile novices’ hurdle. Admittedly, he was beaten over twenty lengths but certainly wasn’t subjected to an aggressive ride by Barry Geraghty. Only 6/1 beforehand, Hell’s Kitchen looked raw and showed signs of inexperience but was still travelling well turning for home. Given an easy time thereafter, that kindness ought to be rewarded in the long-term. It will be a surprise if he can’t win a similar event and is a smashing long-term prospect.” WON next time at Newbury (4/3/16) @ 4/1

Quote: LAKE VIEW LAD: Nick Alexander has sent out 18 winners this season and the Scottish based handler paid £70,000 for the former Mags Mullins trained LAKE VIEW LAD at the Cheltenham May Sales last spring. The Oscar gelding only raced once for Mullins finishing third in a strongly contested bumper at the Punchestown Festival. The first two home Nambour (Willie Mullins) and Krugermac (Gary Moore) have already developed into smart novice hurdlers this winter (the fifth, Whispering Storm has joined Paul Nicholls). A six lengths bumper winner at Hexham in November on his first run for Alexander, he then fell over hurdles at Carlisle and Ayr. The six year old was set to win decisively when coming to grief at the last on the latter occasion. However, Lake View Lad made amends at the same venue last month when winning a two and a half mile maiden hurdle by five lengths. As a result, the handicapper has given him a mark of 121 which appears to underestimate his ability. A race like the Grade 2 premier novices’ hurdle at Kelso (5th March) over two and a quarter miles could be a possible target but it is hoped his connections will elect to utilise his rating. It is worth noting all five of his career starts have been on soft or heavy ground.” WON twice including at Wetherby (12/2/16) by 4 lengths @ 5/2

CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL PREVIEW 2017

Price: £10.00

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The CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL 2016

9 WINNERS: DOUVAN (1/4), YORKHILL (Advised @ 7/2 – WON at 3/1), DIAMOND KING (12/1), DIEGO DU CHARMIL (13/2), LIMINI (11/8), CAUSE OF CAUSES (Advised @ 6/1), IVANOVICH GORBATOV (9/2), SUPERB STORY (Advised @ 14/1 – WON at 8/1), DON COSSACK (9/4)

Plus: THE YOUNG MASTER (E/W – 3rd @ 14/1), LONG HOUSE HALL (Advised e/w @ 25/1 – 2nd), MISSY TATA (Advised e/w @ 20/1 – 4th), IF IN DOUBT (Advised e/w @ 12/1 – 3rd), TAGLIETELLE (Advised e/w @ 16/1 – 4th), WAIT FOR ME (Advised e/w @ 16/1 – 4th)

Coral Cup: 1st & 2nd (DIAMOND KING (12/1) & LONG HOUSE HALL (25/1) – Exacta £208.30

Quote: DIAMOND KING was held in the highest regard by Donald McCain, for whom he won two bumpers and a couple of novice hurdles before enduring a disappointing campaign last season (wasn’t right according to Donald). Transferred to Gordon Elliott last summer, the eight year old ran two eyecatching races in competitive handicap hurdles over two miles at Down Royal (hampered at a crucial stage) and Fairyhouse (behind Blue Hell). Stepped up to two and a half miles at Punchestown (Heavy) in January, he relished the longer distance and won decisively by nearly four lengths under Jack Kennedy (1 from 1). That victory was gained off a mark of 136 and he is set to race off 149, which makes life tougher. However, his trainer believes he will improve again when encountering better ground and his record on good or good to soft is 1131. Saved for this ever since (67 days), it will be disappointing if he doesn’t make an impact.” WON the Coral Cup @ 12/1

Quote: “I have received a positive bulletin regarding the well being of the Dan Skelton trained LONG HOUSE HALL. Previously handled by Paul Duggan in Ireland, the eight year old has won three of his four races for Paul Nicholls’ former assistant. The Saddlers’ Hall gelding won handicap hurdles at Market Rasen and Cheltenham (C&D) last April off marks of 119, 125 before landing a novice chase at Bangor. He unseated his rider early on in a similar contest at Cheltenham in October and has been waiting for better ground since. Good fresh (144 days) and most effective on a sound surface, his mark of 140 doesn’t appear too harsh and he is reportedly in very good form at home, having schooled on Saturday morning. Look out for a big run from the ex-Irish trained gelding who has only had seven runs over timber. I suggest a small each-way on him, too.” Advised @ 25/1 – 2nd in the Coral Cup.

Quote: “Paul Nicholls feels French import DIEGO DU CHARMIL could have been let in lightly on his British debut off a mark of 133. Trained across the English Channel by Arnaud Chaille-Chaille, he was placed three times, including at Enghien in November. A half-brother to Nicky Henderson’s useful hurdler Days of Heaven, he worked extremely well at Wincanton recently and could provide the champion trainer with his third win in the race (Sanctuaire off 127 (2010) and Qualando off 131 (2015)).” WON the Fred Winter Hurdle @ 13/2

Quote: “Jamie Codd has ridden the winner of this race three times since 2009 and the Irishman has been booked to partner the strongly fancied CAUSE OF CAUSES. The eight year old has only won 1 of his 15 races over fences but he has run two terrific races at the Cheltenham Festival in recent years. An unlucky loser of this race in 2014 off 140 (now rated 142), the J.P.McManus owned gelding made amends twelve months ago when capturing the National Hunt Chase over four miles. Eighth in the Grand National next time, he has failed to shine in three races this term. Fifth of six over two miles in Graded company at Naas last time, he is reportedly in tip top shape and his trainer Gordon Elliott sounds confident.” Advised @ 6/1 won the Kim Muir

Quote: “Dan Skelton has purposely kept SUPERB STORY back for this following his excellent run in the Greatwood Hurdle over course and distance in November. Beaten two lengths by subsequent International Hurdle winner Old Guard (now rated 157), he has been raised nine pounds to a mark of 138 but still looks reasonably treated. The ground that day would have been slow enough for the five year old and his trainer thinks he will be even better on good ground. Previously trained by Jonathan Pease on the Flat in France, he joined Charlie Mann last season for €80,000 before joining Paul Nicholls’ former assistant during the summer. An impressive winner at Wetherby in the Autumn off 120, he remains lightly raced and he worked well on Saturday morning.” Advised @ 14/1 won the County Hurdle at 8/1

THE HORSE I AM MOST LOOKING FORWARD TO SEEING RUN AT THE CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL: RICH RICCI: ANNIE POWER (WON @ 5/2)

TALKING TRAINERS: PAUL NICHOLLS: WINNERS: DIEGO DU CHARMIL (13/2): GORDON ELLIOTT: WINNERS: CAUSE OF CAUSES (9/2), DIAMOND KING (12/1)

Quote: DIEGO DU CHARMIL: “Yet to run for us, he was placed three times over hurdles in France and we have saved him for the Fred Winter. He worked very well at Wincanton recently and we are really pleased with his mark of 133. A fine big horse (16.2hh), he has a big engine and compares favourably with our other juvenile hurdlers. I think he is a very nice horse.” WON the Fred Winter Juvenile Hurdle @ 13/2

Quote: CAUSE OF CAUSES: “Jamie Codd rides him and we are really looking forward to seeing him run. He is in very good form at home.” WON the Kim Muir @ 9/2

Quote: DIAMOND KING: “The Coral Cup has been his target all season and I have been delighted with his preparation. Better ground will suit him.” WON the Coral Cup @ 12/1

The IRISH ANGLE by Declan PHELAN: WINNERS: DON COSSACK (9/4), ON THE FRINGE (13/8), VROUM VROUM MAG (4/6), YORKHILL (3/1). Plus: BACARDYS (3rd @ 16/1)

Plus: SPRING WATCH: WINNERS: CLOUDY DREAM (5/2), DOUBLE W’s (1/2), ROBIN ROE (11/4)

Quote: CLOUDY DREAM hasn’t been seen since beating subsequent winner Waiting Patiently by a length and a quarter at Doncaster in late November. However, the Trevor Hemmings owned gelding is reportedly in great form at the moment and could head to Newcastle on Saturday. Considered well handicapped off 122, he doesn’t want the ground too slow and could be set for a productive spring.” WON @ 5/2 at Market Rasen by 6 lengths (28/3/16)

Quote: “Keep an eye out for ex-Irish pointer ROBIN ROE, who will run in a bumper shortly. Previously handled by Timmy Hyde in Ireland, he ran in two points. Runner-up a year ago, the Robin Des Champs gelding went one better at Boulta in November when scoring by half a length. Both the runner-up (Laser Light – now with Alan King) and third have won subsequently. The five year old is now owned by Barbara Hester and is going well in his new surroundings.” WON @ 11/4 on his Rules debut in a bumper at Warwick (23/3/16)

AINTREE GRAND NATIONAL PREVIEW 2017

Price: £6.00

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The AINTREE GRAND MEETING 2016

WINNERS: IVAN GROZNY (16/1), KATACHENKO (9/1), DOUVAN (2/13), YORKHILL (30/100). Plus: BELLSHILL (Advised e/w @ 33/1 – 2nd at 11/2)

Plus: CH’TIBELLO (8/1) – Scottish Champion Hurdle

Quote: “Look out for the well handicapped IVAN GROZNY, who finished eighth in the County Hurdle last time and is running into form at the right time. The track will suit.”WON by 8 lengths at 16/1

Quote: KATACHENKO is officially rated 133 having won one of his six races over fences. A length scorer from the ill-fated Mon Successeur at Wetherby in October off 128, he finished a very good second behind Baltimore Rock at Doncaster over Christmas. Beaten two and a half lengths at Carlisle last time, it was his first run for nearly three months and the seven year old didn’t look at home racing right-handed. Better ground will be in his favour and he can go well under Wayne Hutchinson (13). Donald McCain will be keen to win the race for obvious reasons.”WON the Red Rum Chase @ 9/1

Quote: “From the same yard, don’t be surprised if CH’TIBELLO runs a big race in the Scottish Champion Hurdle on Saturday week (16th April). The ex-French trained five year old has only raced three times for the Skelton yard and, while he has yet to win in the UK, he has run some very good races. Only a length and a quarter behind subsequent Supreme NH winner Altior (now rated 160) at Ascot in October, the pair pulled twenty lengths clear of the remainder. Despite finishing nine lengths third in the Gerry Feilden Hurdle at Newbury last time, he reportedly wasn’t at his best and has had a lengthy break since (142 days). Dropped two pounds since, this has been his target for a while and his connections will be disappointed if he doesn’t go close. I suggest clients start looking for an ante-post price early next week.”WON the Scottish Champion Hurdle at Ayr (16/4/16) @ 8/1 (Available ante-post @ 16/1)

Quote: BELLSHILL disappointed at the Cheltenham Festival for the second consecutive year when only finishing thirteenth in the Supreme NH. However, the six year old did the same last season before finishing second in the Grade 2 bumper at this meeting behind Barters Hill. Runner-up in an Irish point for Colin McKeever, I think this trip will suit him and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him bounce back. Rated 146 over hurdles, he is already a Grade 1 and 2 winner having captured valuable prizes at Navan and Naas earlier in the season. Decent ground is a plus, too.”Advised @ 33/1 in the Grade Sefton NH – 2nd @ 11/2

ALL 5 UPDATES (One Jump Ahead)

Price: £34.00

ONE JUMP AHEAD & ALL 5 UPDATES

Price: £39.99

£8.99

including postage (except £5 extra for overseas)

Ahead On The Flat

The Top Flat Horses To Follow for 2016

Ahead On The Flat (148 pages) also features the following sections:

  • The Top 40 Prospects – last year’s produced the likes of BLUE WALTZ (10/1)
    BRAGGING (9/2), GOLDEN HORN (6 wins including 4 Group 1s), INTILAAQ (3 wins),
    MAHSOOB (3 wins including at Royal Ascot), MUTHMIR (2 Group 2s), SIGNORE PICCOLO (5/2 & 8/1)
    and TWILIGHT SON (3 wins including the Group 1 Betfred Sprint @ 10/1).
  • Handicap Snips – last year’s winner included MARGARET’S MISSION (25/1, 3/1, 4/1),
    MULTELLIE (7/2 & 5/2), NIGHT GENERATION (3 wins), ROYAL ALTITUDE (5/2) and SIR CHAUVELIN (6/1).
  • Maidens In Waiting
  • Stable Gossip – the latest news from Sir Michael Stoute, Karl Burke & Richard Fahey’s teams for 2016
  • Tom’s Top 8 – Racing UK colleague Tom O’Ryan picks his 8 Richard Fahey trained horses to follow, including 4 unraced Two Year Olds
  • Appendix

Top 40 Prospects (£10 level stake)

Stable Interviews:

Highclere Thoroughbred Racing & Al Shaqab, Henry CANDY, Roger CHARLTON, Luca CUMANI, James FANSHAWE, William HAGGAS, Mark JOHNSTON, David O’MEARA, Hugo PALMER, Roger VARIAN.

 

 

 

Ahead On The Flat Updates

ROYAL ASCOT 2016

Price: £8.00

Example t

11 WINNERS:

SOLOW (11/8),
GLENEAGLES (8/15),
ACAPULCO (Advised @ 6/1),
AMAZING MARIA (Advised @ 33/1),
FREE EAGLE (Advised @ 3/1),
GM HOPKINS (Advised @ 12/1),
TIME TEST (15/8),
SPACE AGE (9/1),
ILLUMINATE (4/1),
ARAB DAWN (6/1),
MAHSOOB (7/4)

Plus:

ROYAL HUNT CUP: 3 selections: GM HOPKINS (Advised @ 12/1 – WON), TEMPTRESS (Advised @ 14/1 – 2nd), CHIL THE KITE (Advised @ 25/1 – 3rd). TRICAST: £1189.72

PAUL HANAGAN’s NAP of the week: - MAHSOOB (WON the Wolferton Handicap @ 7/4)

AMAZING MARIA

“AMAZING MARIA was a high-class two year old for Ed Dunlop winning the Prestige Stakes at Goodwood. Disappointing last term, including when finishing last in the Oaks, she joined David O’Meara at the start of this year. While held in handicap company over C&D in May behind Temptress, she looked back to her best last time when two and a half lengths third behind the unbeaten Brooch in the Group 2 Landwades Stud Stakes. The daughter of Mastercraftsman likes fast ground and handles the track well. Officially rated 105, she could go well at big prices and couldn’t be in better hands.”

WON the Duke of Cambridge Stakes at 25/1

ADVISED @ 33/1

Royal Hunt Cup

“GM HOPKINS is rated 103 having won 3 of his 9 races. A three times winner in 2014, including the Silver Cambridgeshire by two and three parts of a length off 91, he could only finish tenth in the Lincoln on his seasonal reappearance. However, the four year old was back to form at Newbury last month when a running on second behind Spark Plug off 99. Ryan Moore partners him for the first time. Granted a favourable draw and luck in running, I am keen on the chances of TEMPTRESS (14/1). Unbeaten at the track, she is unexposed and the form of her latest win has worked out well. I also suggest saving on CHIL THE KITE (25/1) and GM HOPKINS (12/1).”

1st 3 home in the Royal Hunt Cup – Advised @ 12/1, 14/1 & 25/1.

TIME TEST

"TIME TEST has always been held in high esteem by Roger Charlton and he never finished out of the first two in three races last year. A well bred son of Dubawi out of the high-class Passage of Time, he won the London Gold Cup at Newbury, the same ten furlong event Cannock Chase won en route to success here last season. Held up by Ryan Moore, he showed a good attitude to go through a gap before quickening away to win by a length and a quarter from Dissolution. He won off a mark of 93 and now finds himself on 103. Reportedly working well with Al Kazeem prior to his Newbury win, he is rapidly on the upgrade. This is likely to be the fastest ground he has encountered but I am expecting him to go very close.”

WON the Tercentenary Stakes by three and a quarter lengths @ 15/8

SPACE AGE

"The one I like is the Godolphin owned SPACE AGE. A colt by New Approach, he will be tackling a mile and a half for the first time but the manner in which he finished in the London Gold Cup at Newbury behind Time Test last month over ten furlongs suggests he will have no trouble staying. Beaten five and a half lengths on that occasion, he won next time at Newmarket from Suffused. Raised three pounds to a mark of 88, the Charlie Appleby trained colt remains fairly treated and, granted luck in running, he should go close.”

WON the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival

WON the King George V Stakes @ 9/1

ILLUMINATE

“ILLUMINATE bids to provide the Hannon stable with their sixth win in the race and the daughter of Zoffany looked a high-class prospect when beating stablemate Great Page (won a Listed race at Naas by three lengths since) by two and three parts of a length in a conditions event at Salisbury in May. Queen Mary runner-up Tiggy Wiggy had won the same race twelve months earlier. Bought for 95,000gns, her form looks strong and six furlongs on quick ground looks ideal. Her profile is faultless."

WON the Albany Stakes @ 4/1

ARAB DAWN

“ARAB DAWN has evidently been trained with this in mind. Five lengths fifth in the King George V Handicap over C&D twelve months ago off a mark of 90, he was an encouraging third on his return to action at Newmarket’s Guineas meeting behind Astronereus off 93. The gelded son of Dalakhani’s record over twelve furlongs is 523 and he gets on particularly well with Richard Hughes (1123). Hughie Morrison has won this with Waverley (2003) and Cill Rialaig (2010) and the four year old has leading claims.”

WON the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes @ 6/1

3 WINNERS:

ARTHENUS (10/11, 3/1, 100/30),
BESS OF HARDWICK (4/6),
NIGHT GENERATION (9/4, 10/11, 1/2)

ROBINSSON

“James Fanshawe has endured a quiet first half of the season thus far with only four winners. However, the head of Pegasus Stables appears to have a surefire winner in ARTHENUS. A twice raced son of Dutch Art, he showed a glimpse of promise on his sole outing as a juvenile last year at Kempton in November. However, he looked much more streetwise on his reappearance at Doncaster in May when only beaten a length in a mile maiden on easy ground. Partnered by Graham Lee, he stayed on strongly to finish third behind Mustaaqeem. The winner is now rated 88 having finished a neck second in the Wood Ditton Stakes at Newmarket on his debut for Sir Michael Stoute. Arthenus is capable of winning a maiden but I suspect he will show his very best form once handicapped. He could be progressive.”

WON 3 times @ 10/11, 3/1 & 100/30

YORK EBOR FESTIVAL 2016

Price: £6.00

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3 WINNERS:

TASLEET (2/1), BESHARAH (Advised @ 6/1), MISTRUSTING (5/2), plus TOE THE LINE (Advised @ 40/1 – 4th at 25/1)

TASLEET

“TASLEET bids to provide William Haggas with his third successive victory in the race and he sets the standard with an official rating of 109. The Showcasing colt, who was acquired for 52,000gns, has improved with every start. An easy maiden winner at Chepstow, he then won the Listed Rose Bowl Stakes at Newbury before running well in the Richmond Stakes at Goodwood. Beaten less than three lengths by the high-class Shalaa, he was the choice of Paul Hanagan that day (the same owner also had July Stakes third Elronaq in there). A reproduction of that display will make him very hard to beat even allowing for the fact he is forced to concede upwards of five pounds to the majority of his rivals.”

WON the DBS Premier Yearling Stakes @ 2/1

BESHARAH

BESHARAH is battle hardened and has developed into a smart juvenile filly. Bought for 85,000gns, she is a three times winner and has improved since finishing four lengths third in the Queen Mary Stakes at Royal Ascot behind Acapulco. Denied by a nose in the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes at Newmarket behind Illuminate, she then outclassed her rivals in the Princess Margaret Stakes at Ascot last month. A three lengths winner, she handles any ground and her record over the trip is 21. William Haggas won this three years ago with Rosdhu Queen and he has another major player for the 2015 renewal. The Kodiac filly is thriving at present.

Advised @ 6/1 won the Lowther Stakes at 11/4

MISTRUSTING

“MISTRUSTING is making a quick return to action having won at Newmarket on Friday evening. The Godolphin owned filly will carry a six pound penalty following her two and a half lengths victory from the same connections’ Wordcraft. It was the daughter of Shamardal’s first run since finishing a length and a quarter second behind subsequent Stewards’ Cup winner Magical Memory (rated 87 at the time and now 108) at Leicester in May. Indeed, she was conceding three pounds to Charlie Hills’ winner. Effective on good and fast ground, she has a leading chance.

WON at 5/2

ALTERNATIF

“Alternatif holds an entry in the concluding two miles five handicap hurdle (3.45) at Kempton on Friday. David Pipe’s four year old has yet to make his British debut having been acquired for €180,000 at the Arqana Sale during the summer. Previously handled by Alain Couetil, he won over hurdles at Angers in April before finishing third at Auteuil in June. Staying on over two miles one, the Shaanmer gelding will almost certainly benefit from a step up in trip and he looks potentially well treated off 123.”

WON @ 5/2

TOE THE LINE

“TOE THE LINE had a productive campaign in 2014 winning three times, including a Listed race at the Curragh (2 miles) in September. John Kiely’s mare hasn’t managed a win this year but there were signs of her hitting form at Roscommon last time when third in another Listed contest. Beaten three lengths by Panama Hat, the winner has subsequently finished three parts of a length second in the American St Leger at Arlington Park, and the runner-up, Altesse, has finished second again in Group 3 company. In other words, the form looks solid and she invariably produces her best performances around this time of year (3 wins in September). She handles any ground and, despite the fact she is six year old, she has only had fifteen races in her career. Jamie Spencer rides.”

Advised @ 40/1 finished fourth in the Ebor at 25/1

MARKABAH

“Roger Varian’s filly showed more last time though at Thirsk when finishing second in a one mile maiden. Dropping back in trip, she was slowly into stride once again but came within a length of Charlie Hills’ Calima Breeze (third since off 80) with the pair pulling clear of the remainder. I contacted Paul Hanagan the same evening and he said she works very well at home but has failed to reproduce it on the track. Sheikh Hamdan’s number one rider also said she was crying out for further and will come into her own over at least ten furlongs. Don’t be surprised if she leaves her previous form behind in future.”

WON at Chelmsford (23/11/15) by five lengths @ 6/1

THE TIN MAN

“Deacon Blues was a high-class sprinter for James Fanshawe winning the Wokingham Stakes at Royal Ascot in 2011 and four Pattern races during the same season. His half-brother THE TIN MAN has some way to go before matching those achievements but the three year old has won two of his first three races and looks a most progressive sprinter in his own right. All three of his races have been over six furlongs at Doncaster and, having won a maiden on his second outing in late June, he created a favourable impression when winning on his handicap debut at Town Moor off a mark of 79. Always travelling powerfully for Tom Queally, he only had to be kept up to his work to beat Kassbaan by two and a half lengths. The gelded son of Equiano has been raised ten pounds, as a result, but I will be surprised if he can’t defy it. Interestingly, James Fanshawe has given him an entry in the Group 1 British Champions Sprint Stakes at Ascot in mid October, a race his brother won four years ago. There is a big sprint prize in The Tin Man between now and the end of the season and, given the fact Deacon Blues improved with age, he is likely to make an even better four year old.”

WON at Ascot (2/10/15) by four and a half lengths @ 4/1

AUTUMN 2016

Price: £6.00

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CAMBRIDGESHIRE HANDICAP

“MAN OF HARLECH is related to the likes of Eisteddford, Border Patrol and Boston Lodge (placed over nine furlongs) and is at his best on slow ground. An emphatic winner at Ffos Las in such conditions in August off a mark of 85, he then chased home Bronze Angel at Doncaster last time. Beaten a length and a half, he remains fairly treated off 92 and his rider David Probert expects him to stay the trip (won over an extended one mile at Windsor as a three year old). The key to his chance though is likely to be the ground with his record on good to soft or softer reading 131.”

Advised e/w @ 28/1 – 4th at 20/1

DIGEANTA

“DIGEANTA was one of my selections in the race (Cesarewitch) last year and Willie Mullins’ gelding ran well from a poor draw (stall 25) in fifth. Only beaten two and a quarter lengths on good ground off 87, he is four pounds higher this time. Seventh in the Ascot Stakes in June, he won comprehensively over two miles at the Curragh the following month. A remote thirteenth at Leopardstown in his prep, it is hoped Pat Smullen (1 from 4) takes the ride. Landing Light (2003) and Aaim To Prosper (2012) won the race this century as eight year olds. Granted a better draw, I am expecting him to go close once again. He has won 4 of his 14 races on the Flat.”

WON the Irish Cesarewitch

USTINOV

"It will be fascinating to see what David O’Meara can achieve with the seemingly well handicapped USTINOV. A half-brother to Pattern winners Lustrous and Melody In Love, the gelded son of Exceed And Excel has only raced once for the Helmsley handler having previously been in the care of Brian Meehan. A juvenile winner at Nottingham last year, he showed very little in his next five races for his former trainer. Switched to O’Meara in August, he showed an immediate sign of returning to form when third in a six furlongs handicap at Redcar behind Buccaneers Vault off a mark of 74. Once rated 88 last year, it will be a surprise if he doesn’t win races for his new yard either this season or next. Don’t forget when Smoothtalkinrascal joined David O’Meara from Brian Meehan at the end of 2012, he was rated 92 – by the end of the 2013 season, the Kodiac gelding had reached a mark of 105. Lightning may well strike twice. He holds an entry at Ayr next Tuesday (29th September).”

WON next two starts, including at Ayr, at 100/30 & 5/4

 

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