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Foreword by Nick LUCK, 7 times Broadcaster of The Year
“To all Jumps fans who would regularly call for a summer break between seasons, 2020 has surely cautioned you to be careful what you wish for. If it seems an age since the last meaningful competition over obstacles, that’s because it is. At the time of writing, no National Hunt racing of any consequence has taken place since the well named Indefatigable flew up the hill to land the final race of what will now and forever be known as the most controversial Cheltenham Festival ever to take place.
So much, yet so little, has happened in the interim that when I was presenting (via Zoom, naturally) the Thoroughbred Breeders’ Association Jumps awards the other day, I momentarily forgot the name of the Gold Cup winner. The fact that he has won the race twice makes this even less forgivable, although I will maintain that Al Boum Photo is one of the worst names ever dished out to a top class racehorse. I know this is a complete folly of a sidetrack of a complete irrelevance, but I actually believe this ignominy has unfairly diminished his reputation - well, that combined with the fact that he is seen about as often as Halley’s Comet.
Happily, there is zero danger of Mark Howard forgetting anything about the winter game, and what lies between the covers of this ever reliable guide will give succour to anyone suffering a bout of amnesia that prevents them recalling the Welsh National winner trained by Christian Williams or the ‘good thing’ of Willie Mullins that romped in the County Hurdle for J.P. or the forgotten mare who did much the same in the Coral Cup. (They were Potters Corner, Saint Roi and Dame de Compagnie, by the way, and were tipped in Mark’s regular Updates at odds of 9/1, 20/1 and 10/1.)
If there is one less heralded horse that I do remember, however, it is On The Slopes. I had it in my mind quite firmly towards the end of last season that this six year old would continue to make progress, and might even make it to Graded company, and I am really pleased to see an interview with his trainer Chris Gordon make it into One Jump Ahead for the first time. Beneath the wisecracking self-deprecation lurks one of the sharpest minds in the game. Joining him among the first timers is Anthony Honeyball, who continues a fairly relentless rise to somewhere near the top.
Of course, we are all looking forward to seeing Envoi Allen, who might be one of the best jumpers we have seen, and I’m particularly excited to see what Albert Bartlett winner Monkfish might do as he continues to furnish - no doubt you’ll find out more in Mark’s exclusive interview with Rich Ricci.
It has been a tough year for everyone, some more than others, but a positive is that racing has shown it can be a viable sport even in the most taxing of circumstances. We know that nothing will quite be the same; that Cheltenham next March may only be able to provide half the roar. But the quality of the sport will not be diminished and, if this book reminds you of anything, it’s that it will be worth the wait.”
Owners’ Enclosure – Exclusive interviews with Henrietta KNIGHT & Rich RICCI
Henrietta Knight (8 horses covered, including the unraced four year old who looks ‘a bit special’) & Rich Ricci (29 horses).
Rich RICCI & racing manager Joe CHAMBERS nominate their horse to follow for 2019/2020
Stable Interviews:
Kim BAILEY (44 horses featured), Harry FRY (41), Chris GORDON (26), Philip HOBBS (55), Anothony HONEYBALL (35), Alan KING (53), Tom LACEY (37), Olly MURPHY (58), Paul NICHOLLS (116), Jonjo O’NEILL (53), David PIPE (45) & Nicky RICHARDS (45).
Quotes from last year’s One Jump Ahead:
ENVOI ALLEN
“It is fair to say at times that you get what you pay for and, while Envoi Allen wasn’t cheap, he is an outstanding prospect for hurdles and fences. In an ideal world, this five year old will be steered towards the Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle at Cheltenham next spring.”
FERNY HOLLOW
“Ferny Hollow could be top class and, if tracing the bumper route this season will be a leading player in that division. One of a handful of four year olds from the 2019 academy who I predict will have little trouble winning Graded track races, even to Grade 1 rank in time. Willie Mullins has won the Cheltenham Festival bumper on no less than nine occasions and, both he and Cheveley Park Stud, may have a serious contender for the 2020 version.” WON the Cheltenham Festival bumper at 11/1
ALAN KING speaking about HARAMBE
“He will stay over hurdles because I think he is on a fair mark. We will consider races such as the Greatwood Hurdle at Cheltenham (17th November). A strong traveller, he will stay further, if necessary, and I think he is a proper horse.” WON the Greatwood Hurdle at 16/1
One Jump Ahead (198 pages) also features the following sections:
The Top 40 Prospects – Last year’s Top 40 Prospects produced 36 winners at a strike-rate of 35% with a £10 level stakes PROFIT of £113.50. They included CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL winners ENVOI ALLEN, FERNY HOLLOW (11/1) & SHISHKIN (6/1), plus other exciting prospects FAROUK D’ALENE (2 from 2), ISRAEL CHAMP (16/1, 8/1), SPORTING JOHN (3 wins) & THE BIG BREAKWAY (2 wins).
Changing Codes – 11 Flat horses who are set to go hurdling for the first time.
English Pointers – my Racing TV colleague JONATHAN NEESOM picks 13 horses who raced between the flags in the UK last season and caught his eye. In the last couple of years, Jonathan has highlighted the likes of KING ROLAND, SANTINI and TEA CLIPPER.
French Revolution - 47 horses who have being plying their trade in France but have been bought to race in the UK and Ireland this winter. Last year’s article produced 12 winners from 52 runners (23%) yielding a £10 level stakes PROFIT of £115.30. The selections included Cheltenham Festival winners ARAMAX (Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle @ 15/2), BURNING VICTORY (Triumph Hurdle @ 12/1) and SAINT ROI (County Hurdle @ 11/2). The feature has also unearthed other Cheltenham Festival winners over the years, namely A PLUS TARD, DEFI DU SEUIL, the ill-fated Champion Hurdle winner ESPOIR D’ALLEN and KLASSICAL DREAM. For the second time, former French Champion jockey JAMES REVELEY has added his comments to the majority of those featured.
Irish Pointers - expert DECLAN PHELAN highlights 37 pointers to follow from across the Irish Sea who will race under Rules this winter. Last year’s feature yielded 37 winners at an impressive strike-rate of 27% and produced a £10 level stakes PROFIT of £274.60 (following on from his 40 winners and PROFIT of £462.90 the previous year). The latest success stories included ADRIMEL (2 wins), BIG BRESIL (10/1), CILL ANNA (3 wins), CLONDAW CAITLIN (4 wins – 12/1, plus Grade 2 success), FRENCH DYNAMITE (6/1, 5/1), KEARNEY HILL (20/1), MINELLA MELODY (3 wins), MOSSY FEN (3 wins) and SPRINGFIELD FOX (7/1).
Unraced Bumper Horses – 14 highly regarded youngsters who will be making their debuts in bumpers this season. They are trained by the likes of Paul Nicholls, Olly Murphy, Nicky Richards, Brian Ellison.
Appendix – a full and comprehensive analysis of the 2 mile chasers, 2m 4f chasers, staying chasers & 2 mile hurdlers
Index – 792 horses included
How To Order
Price: £10.99 including postage (except £5 extra for overseas)
Available direct from:
Mark Howard Publications Ltd. 69 Fairgarth Drive, Kirkby Lonsdale, Carnforth, Lancashire. LA6 2FB.
One Jump Ahead Updates – VIA EMAIL ONLY
I shall be producing 5 One Jump Ahead Updates throughout the 2020/21 National Hunt season. Each Update comprises information about the horses in One Jump Ahead, an update from top Bloodstock Agent Anthony Bromley, Bumper News, Ante-Post Advice (recommendations for the major races), Big-Race Previews and News from Ireland from one of the most informed Irish experts Declan Phelan. Please note, the Updates are ONLY AVAILABLE VIA EMAIL (Not Post).
It is £6 per Update (except £10 for the Cheltenham Festival version) or £34 for ALL 5 via EMAIL.
Summary of the 2019/2020 Updates:
What The Clients Said:
“Thanks once again for an informative and profitable update the combination of One Jump Ahead and the Updates are not only informative and enjoyable but invaluable for National Hunt fans of all levels of punting interest.” R.J.
“Excellent work as always; I’m a new customer to the Updates this year and have been very impressed with the quality of your work; your enthusiasm and effort is clear from your work.” D.G.
“This edition must be the best ever as the winners just keep on coming from the start of the current National Hunt Season. You must be the scourge of the bookmaking fraternity and long may it continue. Well done.” A.H.
“Thought to drop a note and say great work on the names to note from the November Update. I had two good bets on Epatante and Ribble Valley, and tragically missed Tavus! Brilliant work on pointing these out though.“ W.H.
“Well done with Epatante, glad to see you proved right about her. Perfect race for her today and a good shout from you well in advance - 5/1 in the antepost book, most rewarding.” S.H.
“Wow what a superb ending to the November meeting. Thanks to Top 40 Prospects Israel Champ completed the meeting with a nice hefty profit. Thanks very much.” S.T.
“Have to thank you Mark for highlighting Ferny Hollow. Backed him at 25s a couple of times back Sept/Oct 2019 and its certainly added big time to a wonderful two betting days at Cheltenham. Been with MH Publications for a good few years now and its info like this that highlights why you are so popular.” K.E.
“What a day mate. Envoi Allen 10/1,Dame de Compagnie 10/1 & Ferny Hollow 25/1 absolutely brilliant THANK YOU.” F.R.
“Just to say thanks for Ferny Hollow, took 20's a while ago, I owe you a drink.” J.M.
“Great service mate, I was on Shishkin at 33/1. Keep up good work.” F.R.
“Well Done and thank you, the Cheltenham Update gave great info and a nice winner today with Truckers Lodge taking the Midlands National.” S.S.
“Thank you once again for Truckers Lodge, amazing information.” B.J.
“I look forward to next year’s OJA, I was just flicking through this year’s edition and your Top 40 Prospects worked out very well once again (I know you don’t need me to tell you) and the book as a whole contributed enormously to me having a very successful Cheltenham Festival with my first real crack at taking ante-post seriously. For that I can’t thank you enough.” M.H.
“I bought One Jump Ahead recently and think it is outstanding work. Some of us do not just judge on results but on quality of insight and yours is first class!” D.M.
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WINNERS: JATILUWIH (Advised @ 11/2)
Quote: “JATILUWIH was a winner over fences in France before joining Philip Hobbs earlier this year. The five year old is unbeaten in four races over timber since arriving at Minehead and makes his handicap debut here off 137. He beat subsequent winners Falco Blitz (likely to reoppose here) and Espoir De Romay on his British debut at Ludlow in March before following up at Chepstow in April. Returning to action at Sedgefield in October, he streaked clear to win by thirteen lengths under his owner/jockey David Maxwell. He then made it four out of four when conceding fifteen pounds to West Cork (runner-up again since) and Young Bull (won subsequently) before registering a five lengths victory at Wetherby a few weeks later. The Linda’s Lad gelding handles any ground and his opening mark may underestimate him.” ADVISED @ 11/2 WON @ 11/4
Plus: BATTLE OF WILLS (100/30), BUZZ (13/8, 1/2), EPATANTE (3/1, 2/1, 2/1), GOSHEN (3 wins), HOMER (100/30), LION TOWER (100/30, 5/4), NEVER DO NOTHING (2/1), RIBBLE VALLEY (13/8), TAVUS (9/2 & 2/1), WOLF PRINCE (9/10, 9/10), ZOFFEE (10/11)
Quote: “It will be interesting to see what Gordon Elliott can achieve with BATTLE OF WILLS having been acquired for 52,000gns at the Newmarket Horses in Training Sale last month. A three year old son of Lawman, he won three of his eleven races on the Flat for James Tate and is rated 87. A winner over a mile as a two year old, he scored over ten and twelve furlongs at Nottingham and Ripon (both on good ground) respectively earlier this year. Runner-up on good to soft at the latter venue behind the well handicapped Faylaq in June, he disappointed on his final two starts but is likely to improve for his new handler.” WON on his hurdles debut at Naas (26/1) @ 100/30
Quote: “I was hoping Nicky Henderson would elect to run EPATANTE in the Greatwood Hurdle at Cheltenham on Sunday but he relies on another couple of J.P.McManus owned mares, namely Countister and Dame De Compagnie. The head of Seven Barrows issued an encouraging report though about the daughter of No Risk At All earlier this month saying: “This lovely looker didn’t show up at Cheltenham but might have been affected by the pre-Festival flu jabs and has grown and strengthened enormously. Training nicely and will be aimed at smart handicap hurdles.” Featured in last season’s Top 40 Prospects, the ex-French trained filly looked a class act when winning at Kempton and Exeter before underperforming in the mares’ novices’ hurdle at the Festival. Sent off 15/8 favourite, she could only finish ninth having made a mistake at halfway. Officially rated 137, I will be amazed if the five year old doesn’t prove considerably better than that. Henderson has won the Gerry Feilden Hurdle at Newbury (30th November) on six occasions and Epatante looks tailormade for the 0-155 two miles event. A flat track may always bring out the best in her.” WON at the Gerry Feilden Hurdle at Newbury by 6 lengths @ 3/1
Quote: “That comment may also apply to the progressive GOSHEN, who is set to embark on a National Hunt career following three wins on the Flat in 2019. Gary Moore’s Authorized gelding is bred for jumping being a half-brother to Willie Mullins’ Listed hurdles winner Elimay. Having shown very little in three starts over a mile and nine furlongs as a juvenile last year, he has proved a different proposition since stepped up to middle distances this term. A twelve lengths winner on his handicap debut at Brighton (1m 4f : Good) in June off 64, he followed up by nine lengths under a six pounds penalty at Sandown (1m 6f : Soft) a week later. Given a break, he returned from an absence of 138 days to win by seven lengths at Nottingham (1m 6f : Soft) in late October off 80 (raised eight pounds since). Despite the fact Goshen still looked green at Colwick Park, he galloped his opponents into submission looking a tremendous staying prospect in the process. Purchased with hurdling in mind, one would expect him to make his jumping bow later this month (entered at Fontwell on Sunday (1.30)).” WON his first three races over hurdles and was clear when falling at the last in the Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival.
Quote: “John McConnell has made a good impression in recent seasons sending out 11 winners in Ireland this season and he was also responsible for 7 winners from only 19 runners in the UK last winter. Along with owner Derek Kierans, the pair were active at the Newmarket Autumn Sales. NEVER DO NOTHING was the most expensive having been purchased for 135,000gns. A three year old by Casamento, he won three of his ten starts on the Flat for Andrew Balding and is rated 91. Two of those wins were gained over a mile as a two year old but he also won over twelve furlongs at Goodwood in June. Placed at Ascot on his final two outings, he has only raced on good or faster ground and could be the ideal type for a juvenile hurdle at Musselburgh.” WON at Musselburgh on his hurdles debut (1/1) by five and a half lengths @ 2/1
Quote: “As discussed earlier, I spoke to Nicky Richards at Carlisle on Monday and the Greystoke based handler added that his potentially high-class novice hurdler RIBBLE VALLEY is likely to head to Wetherby towards the end of the month (27th November) for another two miles novices’ hurdle under a penalty. The Westerner gelding, who won two of his three bumpers last season, made a smooth start his hurdles career when scooting nine lengths clear at Hexham last week. His connections felt he didn’t particularly enjoy the heavy ground but was too good for his nine rivals in any case.” WON at Wetherby by 11 lengths @ 13/8
Quote: “Jedd O’Keeffe has his jumpers in fine fettle with stable star Sam Spinner making it two out of two over fences at Wetherby recently. Micky Hammond’s former assistant has teamed up with owners Quantum during the last twelve months and they have invested heavily at the sales. They were at it again at the Tattersalls Horses in Training Sale at Newmarket last month purchasing Kiefer for 210,000gns and TAVUS. The latter was acquired for 105,000gns and a juvenile hurdle campaign has been mooted. A progressive type on the Flat for Roger Charlton, the Pour Moi gelding has won three of his last four starts with his official rating climbing from 60 to 78. Successful at Newbury, Ffos Las and Leicester over trips ranging from twelve to fourteen furlongs, he handles both good and heavy ground. He could be a useful recruit to the northern jumping scene.” WON on his hurdles debut at Newcastle (30/11) @ 9/2
TALKING TRAINERS: BRIAN ELLISON: WINNERS: BARON DE MIDLETON (6/1 & 4/1), DEFINITLY RED (Evens), KEARNEY HILL (20/1, 2/1), SAM’S ADVENTURE (6/1), SNOOKERED (15/8, 6/5), THE DANCING POET (9/4), THE KING OF MAY (9/2), TUPELO MISSISSIPPI (5/2, 4/1)
Quote: THE DANCING POET: “A half-brother to Dance And Dance, who was runner-up in the Royal Hunt Cup. A ten furlongs winner at Chelmsford in August for Ed Vaughan, we bought him at the Newmarket Horses in Training last month with a view to sending him hurdling. We have schooled him and his jumping has been very good. All being well, he will be running in a juvenile hurdle in December.” WON on his hurdles debut at Catterick (1/1) @ 9/4
Quote: THE KING OF MAY: “He is a very nice horse who won over hurdles in France before we bought him. A decent juvenile hurdler a couple of seasons ago, he missed the whole of the last campaign but returned from a lengthy absence to win on his chasing debut at Carlisle. He has always worked well and jumps for fun. Therefore his victory wasn’t a surprise and it looked a strong race, too. While he will stay further, if necessary, he has a lot of speed so we will keep him to two miles for the time being. The handicapper raised him six pounds for his win at Carlisle but I still think he is well handicapped off 131. I think he is a very good horse.” WON at Sedgefield (26/1) @ 9/2
Quote: TUPELO MISSISSIPPI: “A lovely big horse who was beaten a head in his only Irish point for Colin Bowe. We bought him at the Cheltenham May Sale and his owner Phil Martin has told us to take our time with him. He is a grand horse who is working nicely at home and the plan is to start him off in a bumper in the New Year. Only four, I think he is a very nice horse for the future.” WON 2 bumpers at Newcastle @ 5/2 & 4/1
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CHRISTMAS SPECIAL 2018
WINNERS: BIRCHDALE (2/1), HUMBLE HERO (5/2), LADY BUTTONS (Evens, Evens), SIR EREC (11/8, 13/8), TEDHAM (4/1)
Quote: “McManus is also the new owner of the 109 rated Flat racer SIR EREC. A son of Camelot and from the family of Queens Vase winner Mahler, he only raced a handful of times on the level improving with each start. A half length winner of a ten furlongs maiden at the Curragh in late August, he then beat The King by four lengths in a Listed contest at Limerick (1m 4f : Heavy) in October. Joseph O’Brien’s charge produced a career best on his most recent start when two and a half lengths third behind Stradivarius and Thomas Hobson in the Group 2 Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup at Ascot (2m : Soft) a week later. Significantly, he holds an entry in the three year old maiden hurdle at Leopardstown on Thursday (12.10) in which subsequent Triumph Hurdle winner Ivanovich Gorbatov made a winning start to his jumping career. If he shows an aptitude for his vocation, he possesses the talent to be a top-class hurdler and the 20/1 (Bet365, Skybet & William Hill) for Festival glory next March is tempting.” WON twice at Leopardstown, including the Grade 1 Spring Juvenile Hurdle (3/2/19) @ 13/8
Quote: “Despite the fact TEDHAM has failed to win any of his three races over hurdles this Autumn/Winter, the Jonjo O’Neill trained could prove a well handicapped novice off an opening mark of 125. A well bred four year old by Shirocco out of Donald McCain’s dual Listed winner Alegralil, he shaped with plenty of promise in his bumper at Warwick last spring finishing third behind Umndeni. Switched to hurdling this season, he finished fourth behind Al Dancer (won twice since and now rated 141) at Carlisle and then third to The Big Bite at Chepstow. On both occasions, he impressed with the way he travelled during his races before finding two potentially top notch novices too strong late on. Runner-up behind Getaway Trump in desperate ground at Exeter last time, he had previous winners Remastered and Samarquand (rated 135) behind him. Yet to race beyond two miles one, he is bred to appreciate further.” WON @ 4/1 at Wincanton on his handicap debut over 2m 5f (5/1/19)
HUNTER CHASERS: WINNERS: SAUSALITO SUNRISE (11/10), SHANTOU FLYER (8/15, 10/11), UCELLO CONTI (4/6, 4/7, 7/2)
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BETFAIR HURDLE: CIEL DE NEIGE (Advised @ 16/1 – 2nd beaten three parts of a length @ 13/2
Quote: “CIEL DE NEIGE could prove to be Mullins’ main challenger. Trained in France by Guy Cherel, the five year old has yet to win in six races over hurdles but has only had three runs for his current yard. Fourth at Auteuil behind Pic D’Orhy, he was beaten less than four lengths when third in the Fred Winter Juvenile Hurdle at Cheltenham in March on his first run for Mullins. Rated 132 on that occasion, he was in receipt of half a stone from the winner Band of Outlaws. Back in action at Fairyhouse in December, he stayed on well in fourth behind stablemates Janidil and Buildmeupbuttercup. The Authorized gelding was then unfortunate not to shed his maiden tag at Limerick over Christmas. Beaten a head by Argumental (fourth since), Donal McInerney’s mount endured traffic problems at a crucial stage and nearly ran the wrong side of a rail. Despite running on well, he found the winning post coming too soon. Rated 135, he has plenty more to offer and is capable of winning a handicap of this nature. Owner J.P.McManus and Mullins were responsible for Bleu Et Rouge who finished second to Kalashnikov in this in 2018. Novices have won 8 of the last 10 renewals. Best Price: 16/1 (BetVictor, Coral, Ladbrokes, Paddy Power, William Hill)” Advised @ 16/1 – 2nd at 13/2
CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL HANDICAPS PREVIEW: SAINT ROI – WON the County Hurdle @ 11/2
Quote: “It will be interesting to see if Ireland’s champion trainer enters SAINT ROI who was an easy winner at Tramore on New Year’s Day. Another gelded son of Coastal Path, he has only raced three times over hurdles and has yet to be allocated a rating. Previously trained in France by Guy Cherel, he finished third in a Listed hurdle at Auteuil in September 2018 before being purchased by J.P.McManus. Absent for 448 days, the five year old was bitterly disappointing on his first run for his new connections when only fifth in a two miles three maiden hurdle at Clonmel in early December having been sent off 1/3 favourite. However, it was a different story last time as he ran out a decisive nine lengths winner having taken up the running soon after the second last. Subsequent Grade 1 winning novice chaser Notebook won the same two miles maiden hurdle twelve months earlier. Mullins commented afterwards: “He didn't jump the last day and I said to Paul (Townend) to have him nicely warmed up before the race. We worked on him since and it must have worked as he jumped very well. We won't aim too high and could look for a rated novice or something like that. He could be a good novice by the time Punchestown comes around and will jump a fence in time.” So many of Mullins’ horses have improved markedly from their seasonal returns and Saint Roi is no different. The Closutton outfit have run the likes of Al Boum Photo, Dolcita and Laurina at Tramore in recent years and they may have sent another decent one there last month. He may be kept to novice company but, if granted a suitable mark, Mullins will be keen to exploit it. Despite winning over the minimum trip last time, he is bred to stay much further coming from the family of a Grade 1 winner in France over three miles seven.” WON the County Hurdle by four and a half lengths off a mark of 137 @ 11/2
WINNER: FIRST ACCOUNT (6/5, 4/5)
Quote: “FIRST ACCOUNT is featured on page 152 of One Jump Ahead in the Handicap Snips section. The six year old has only raced once this season finishing runner-up at Hexham on his chasing debut in November. The Malinas gelding looked all set for victory approaching the last but paid for an over exuberant ride and was headed on the run-in by Lucinda Russell’s Saint Freule. Absent since, the Malinas gelding has been transferred to Keith Dalgleish’s yard and is definitely handicapped to win races over fences (rated 117) for his new handler. The former pointer will benefit from better ground in the remaining weeks of the season and is one to look out for in a 0-120 handicap chase over two or two and a half miles.” WON twice @ 6/5 & 4/5)
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7 WINNERS: SHISHKIN (6/1), ENVOI ALLEN (Advised @ 5/4), DAME DE COMPAGNIE (Advised @ 10/1), FERNY HOLLOW (Advised @ 12/1), SAMCRO (Advised @ 7/1), SAINT ROI (Advised @ 20/1), AL BOUM PHOTO (Advised @ 4/1)
Quote: “SHISHKIN (Top 40) is another former Irish pointer having won one of his two starts for Virginia Considine. Purchased on behalf of owner Joe Donnelly for £170,000, he was a smooth eight lengths winner of a Kempton bumper for Nicky Henderson last March. An early casualty (fell at the second) on his hurdles debut at Newbury in December, he made amends in no uncertain terms at the same venue the following month with an easy eleven lengths success. Stepped up to two miles three in the Listed Sidney Banks Memorial NH at Huntingdon last month, he barely came off the bridle to beat the 139 rated Shan Blue by the same margin. The Seven Barrows team have won this three times (River Ceiriog (1986), Flown (1992) and Altior (2016) and this Sholokhov gelding looks top-class.” WON the Sky Bet Supreme Novices’ Hurdle @ 6/1
Quote: “DAME DE COMPAGNIE is also entered in the Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap on Friday. A French bumper winner and runner-up over hurdles at Auteuil when trained by Adrien Lacombe, she has won 3 of her 7 races over hurdles in total. Rated 140, she won a Listed mares’ novice hurdle over C&D in April 2018 before being off the track for 577 days. Returning to action in the Greatwood Hurdle at Cheltenham in November, she stayed on well in fifth behind Harambe off 132. Stepped up in distance, Nicky Henderson’s mare won a handicap hurdle by four and a half lengths over C&D in December. Upped ten pounds since, she has purposely been kept fresh (90 days) and bids to become the first mare to win this. Her record at the track is 5151 with both wins gained on the New course and her form figures over 2m 3f/2m 4f are 211.” Advised @ 10/1, WON the Coral Cup @ 5/1
Quote: “FERNY HOLLOW (Top 40) was a fifteen lengths winner of his only point-to-point for Colin Bowe in February last year. Purchased soon afterwards for £300,000, the five year old has only won one of his three starts in bumpers since joining Willie Mullins. Too keen at both Fairyhouse and Leopardstown, the five year old finished runner-up behind Joseph O’Brien trained opponents on each occasion, namely Eric Bloodaxe and Forged In Fire respectively. Fitted with a hood for the first time at Fairyhouse last month, he was held up and settled better under Patrick Mullins and won handsomely. A four and a quarter lengths scorer from On Eagles Wings, it is a relatively quick turnaround (18 days) but his chance will depend on how he settles. With Patrick Mullins expected to partner the favourite Appreciate It, there must be every chance Paul Townend will partner him for the first time in public. His trainer is looking for his tenth win in the race and there is no doubt this gelded son of Westerner has the ability to go close.” Advised @ 12/1 WON the Grade 1 bumper @ 11/1
Quote: “SAMCRO has been much maligned during the last season and a half having only won one of his last seven starts. A top-class novice hurdler a couple of years ago, he won two Grade 1 events, including the Ballymore NH at this meeting. Gordon Elliott could never get him right last winter as he pursued a Champion Hurdle campaign. Sent chasing in the Autumn, he was a seventeen lengths winner at Down Royal (wore a tongue tie) in November. Going well and virtually upsides Fakir D’Oudairies when crashing out at the second last in the Grade 1 Drinmore NC at Fairyhouse next time, he then produced a tame effort last time. Beaten ten lengths by Faugheen at Limerick on Boxing Day, the eight year old found little off the bridle from the second last. Found to have scoped badly afterwards, he has had a wind operation since. His record at Grade 1 level is 11F25F2. Gordon Elliott won this a couple of years ago with Shattered Love but no eight year old has every landed the prize. On his day, the Germany gelding is top-class and it wouldn’t be the biggest shock if he bounced back, especially if Davy Russell rides him for the first time in public.” Advised @ 7/1 WON the Marsh Novices’ Chase @ 4/1
Quote: “SAINT ROI is included on page 149 of One Jump Ahead and there is every reason to believe the ex-French gelding will prove considerably better than his opening mark of 137. Runner-up on the Flat and placed over hurdles at Auteuil (Listed) when handled by Guy Cherel, the five year old has only had a couple of runs for J.P.McManus and Willie Mullins. Bitterly disappointing on his Irish debut at Clonmel (2m 3f) in December finishing a remote fifth, the Coastal Path gelding was sent off 1/3 favourite. However, he showed his true worth next time when dropped back to two miles at Tramore on New Year’s Day. In the same maiden hurdle in which Notebook had defeated Janidil twelve months earlier, he ran out an emphatic nine lengths winner from Arcadian Sunrise (won twice since). His trainer commented afterwards: “He could be a good novice by the time Punchestown comes around.” He has plenty more to offer.” Advised @ 20/1 WON the County Hurdle @ 11/2
Quote: “AL BOUM PHOTO will become the first horse since Best Mate in 2004 to win successive Cheltenham Gold Cups. The Buck’s Boum gelding has won 5 of his 10 races over fences, including his two and a half lengths victory in the race last year. Runner-up behind Kemboy at the Punchestown Festival next time, he warmed up for this in the same Grade 3 chase at Tramore on New Year’s Day which he won last season. A six lengths winner, the time was good and the runner-up Acapella Bourgeois has won the Grade 3 Bobbyjo Chase by fifteen lengths since. Still relatively unexposed over three miles plus (5FR12), he gets on well with Paul Townend (151R121) and has purposely been kept fresh since (72 days off). A faller in the RSA Chase a couple of years ago, he warrants his place at the head of the market.” Advised @ 4/1 WON the Cheltenham Gold Cup @ 100/30
FESTIVAL PREVIEW ROUND-UPS:
KIM BAILEY: Quote: “IMPERIAL AURA (novices’ handicap chase) has done all his preparation with Vinndication and looks fantastic. Runner-up at Cheltenham in January, I think he is better than he showed that day because we had to get a third run into him to qualify for this. He has course experience and goes there a worthy favourite.” WON @ 4/1
ANTHONY BROMLEY:Quote: “CONCERTISTA (Mares’ Novice Hurdle): “Beaten a short head by one of her stablemates in the Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle last year, she will attempt to go one better on Thursday. Third in a competitive handicap hurdle at Leopardstown last time, she appreciated the drier ground on that occasion. We are hoping conditions will dry out at Cheltenham between now and then.” WON @ 9/2
PAUL CARBERRY: Quote: “The third and final preview I attended was in the shadows of Fir Park, the home of Motherwell Football Club, on Friday. Over 150 flocked into the Club 100 to listen to the views of PAUL CARBERRY, Ian Robinson (owner of Gold Cup winner Imperial Commander) and James Griffin (assistant trainer). Carberry, who rode 14 Festival winners, was very keen on AL BOUM PHOTO for the Gold Cup having watched him school after racing at Navan last Tuesday. His nap of the meeting is SAMCRO in the Marsh Novices’ Chase on Thursday. “I rode Samcro in a schooling race before he made his chasing debut at Down Royal in the Autumn. He worked with Battleoverdoyen and Delta Work and beat them by twenty lengths. He felt like an aeroplane. I am hoping Keith (Donoghue) rides him on Thursday because he has done all the work on him. He bled at Limerick last time but, if Gordon (Elliott) can get him back to his best, there is nothing in that field which will be able to live with him.”
RICH RICCI: The HORSE I AM MOST LOOKING FORWARD TO: MIN. WON the Ryanair Chase @ 2/1
TALKING TRAINERS: PAUL NICHOLLS: WINNER: POLITOLOGUE (6/1)
Quote: POLITOLOGUE (Queen Mother Champion Chase (Wednesday)): “I have backed him at 33/1 for the Champion Chase because I think he is a massive price. He ran an awesome race in it last year finishing second less than two lengths behind Altior. Runner-up behind Defi Du Seuil on his reappearance in the Shloer Chase at Cheltenham in November, he was conceding three pounds to the winner. He then bled when running below par in the Tingle Creek at Sandown and we have purposely kept him fresh since. The softer the ground, the better his chance and, granted such conditions, I am very hopeful he will finish in the first three. He had a racecourse gallop at Wincanton last Thursday and did a fantastic piece of work. He is very fit and at his best when fresh, and the fact Un De Sceaux isn’t in the line up is a major plus because he can bowl along in front and try and stretch them.” WON @ 6/1
DATES FOR THE DIARY:
Saturday 14th March – UTTOXETER – 3.35 Midlands Grand National
“Paul Nicholls has never won the four and a quarter miles event but he plans to run his Welsh National runner-up TRUCKERS LODGE. The eight year old has only raced four times over fences and remains unexposed. Rated 141, the Westerner gelding won at Chepstow in late October before finishing a length and three quarters runner-up at the same track over Christmas off 139. Only a couple of pounds higher, the champion trainer intended running the former Tom George inmate in the Grand National Trial at Haydock in February but he incurred a cut and was forced to miss out. His record on heavy ground is 212 and it is hoped top weight De Rasher Counter stands his ground, otherwise the weights will rise by at least seven pounds. He is currently available at 10/1 with Coral & Ladbrokes.” Advised @ 10/1 WON the Midlands National by 18 lengths @ 6/1
Tuesday 17th March – DOWN ROYAL
“Dermot McLoughlin is reportedly targeting the mares’ bumper at the Northern Ireland track on St Patrick’s day with the once raced DELVINO. A five year old by Dylan Thomas, she is a half-sister to Avellino who won three times for the same stable. She shaped with plenty of promise when runner-up behind the more experienced Julies Stowaway, who had finished second twice at Navan and Limerick, with the highly regarded Ballyadam in third. A reproduction of that run will make her difficult to beat.” WON @ 4/5
The AINTREE GRAND MEETING 2019
WINNERS: FELIX DESJY (Advised @ 8/1), MIN (Advised @ 5/1)
Quote: “FELIX DESJY was a useful bumper horse finishing sixth in the championship event at the Cheltenham Festival last season having raced too keenly. The six year old has been in and out over hurdles this campaign winning impressively at Galway on his reappearance in October. Below par on his next three outings, Gordon Elliott’s gelding was back to form in January when winning the Grade 2 Sky Bet Moscow Flyer NH at Punchestown (Good) by five lengths. Given a break, he was a creditable fifth in the Supreme NH at Cheltenham last month, holding every chance turning for home. Beaten eleven lengths, he looks a better horse on a flatter track and Aintree ought to suit him.” Advised @ 8/1 WON the Grade 1 Top Novices’ Hurdle @ 7/2
Quote: “MIN was beaten a neck by Poltilogue in the race last year having raced keenly early on. The eight year old had looked better than ever during the first half of this season winning the Grade 1 John Durkan Chase at Punchestown in December by a length and a half before winning another Grade 1 over two miles at Leopardstown (for the second consecutive year) in February by six lengths. However, Willie Mullins’ Walk In The Park gelding produced a lacklustre performance in the Queen Mother Champion Chase at Cheltenham finishing a well beaten fifth behind Altior. His record over 2m 4f is 121 and he is a triple Grade 1 winner. Ireland’s champion trainer won this with Boston Bob five years ago and he has a major contender again. Ruby Walsh (11211115) is expected to take the ride.” Advised @ 5/1 WON the Grade 1 Melling Chase by 20 lengths @ 2/1
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“It’s a fascinating mix of trainer interviews, horses to follow and general insight, which continues to mark the author out as one of the very best in the business.”
Andrew BALDING, Ralph BECKETT, Roger CHARLTON, Tim EASTERBY, Charlie FELLOWES, William HAGGAS, Jedd O’KEEFFE, James TATE, Roger VARIAN.
The Top 40 Prospects - last year’s included LORD NORTH (Listed & Cambridgeshire), SPANISH ARCHER (10/1), WIRETAP (8/1), plus unraced three year olds JUBILOSO (2 wins) & UAE JEWEL (2 wins).
Owner’s Enclosure – CLIPPER LOGISTICS – Racing Manager Joe Foley runs through the pick of the high-profile owner’s string for 2020, including six unraced Two Year Olds.
Ballydoyle Juveniles – 38 well bred unraced Two Year olds trained by Aidan O’Brien. Group 2 winners ARIZONA & ARMORY were included in last year’s article.
Handicap Snips – Last year’s article unearthed CARADOC (9/2, 11/10, 5/1), MIND THE CRACK (2 wins), SEA BATTLE (12/1), SWINDLER (9/4 & 100/30) & WISE COUNSEL (3/1 & 7/1)
Maidens In Waiting – 15 lightly raced three year olds who ought to be shedding their maiden tags shortly. DEREVO, DURSTON, EAGLES BY DAY, MAQSAD, RHYTHMIC INTENT & TEMPUS were featured last season.
Significant Sales – 9 horses who will be racing for new connections this summer having gone under the hammer in recent months. ARECIBO (7/1), SHIP OF THE FEN (2/1) & TAWNY PORT (7/2, 7/2 & 15/8) were highlighted twelve months ago
Stable Gossip – the latest news from Sir Michael Stoute’s powerful yard
Unraced Three Year Olds – 31 horses who didn’t see a racecourse last year but are expected to make up for lost time this season. DESERT ICON (2 wins), FIRST IN LINE (3 wins), LADY IN FRANCE (12/1) & LOGICIAN (5 from 5) were amongst those selected last term.
Appendix – sprinters, milers, middle distances, stayers & Classic contenders all covered
Index – anextensive index covering over 580 horses
How To Order
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ISBN: 978-0-9929224-9-8
Once again, I shall be producing 3 Ahead On The Flat Updates. The first Update will be a preview of the prestigious Royal Ascot meetingin June, the second will be a preview of the historic four day York Ebor meeting in August and the third will concentrate on the major Autumn races. There will be an in-depth analysis of races such as the Cambridgeshire, Prix de L’Arc de Triomphe and Cesarewitch. Please note, the Updates are ONLY AVAILABLE VIA EMAIL (Not Post).
It is £10 for the Royal Ascot Update and £6 for the York & Autumn Updates (or £19 for ALL 3) via EMAIL.
Summary of last year’s 3 Ahead On The Flat Updates:
What The Clients Said:
“Thanks Mark top information again, I had a good start to the week and a great finish with Cleonte.” K.R.
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“Just to say well done and thank you for the Ascot winners and, in particular, Southern Rock, which has just won at Hamilton, despite looking beaten a furlong out. As always, top class advice and information and as always, much appreciated.” W.S.
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“Just wanted to thank you for a great Ebor Update and pleased to say I backed all the winners you tipped up. Just for good measure, even though not tipped, your summary of Mustajeer convinced me to back him, along with Alligator Alley and Que Amoro in a winning treble. Once again Mark, thanks for a highly detailed and insightful update....and I'm pleased you email to Australia!” S.W.
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“Thanks for a superb York Update 2019, remarkable insight, analysis and tipping selections.” S.L.
“Just to say thanks for highlighting Lampang in your Update. I thought the race was gone after he fell out of the stalls, but his finishing kick in the final two furlongs was seriously impressive. As always, quality information which is very much appreciated.” W.S.
“Been keeping an eye out for Lampang since your Royal Ascot Update. Again with your Ebor meeting Update. Today he showed the horse Tim Easterby knew he was. Your info is unbelievable.” B.R.
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6 WINNERS: ARIZONA (Advised @ 5/2 WON @ 15/8), BLUE POINT (Advised @ 3/1 WON @ 5/2), CRYSTAL OCEAN (Advised @ 4/1 WON @ 3/1), JAPAN (Advised @ 9/4 WON @ 6/4), CAPE BYRON (Advised @ 14/1 WON @ 7/2), CLEONTE (7/2)
Plus: ONE MASTER (Advised @ 25/1 – 2nd), DREAM OF DREAMS (Advised @ 14/1 – 2nd)
Quote: “ARIZONA is featured on page 106 of AOTF and the son of No Nay Never, who cost €260,000, appears to be Ballydoyle’s leading hope as Aidan O’Brien attempts to win it for a record breaking ninth time. Beaten three lengths by Sunday Sovereign (won again since and Norfolk Stakes bound) at the Curragh (6f : Yielding) in May, he kept on in the closing stages. Returning to the same C&D less than three weeks later on much quicker ground (Good/Firm), Ryan Moore’s mount dispatched eight rivals by upwards of eight lengths with a most impressive performance. He looks a very smart colt and the quicker the ground the better. He is one of four runners for Ballydoyle and the choice of Ryan Moore.” Advised @ 5/2) WON the Coventry Stakes @ 15/8
Quote: “BLUE POINT was third in the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup over six furlongs at this meeting in 2017 before producing a terrific display to win this event twelve months ago. Charlie Appleby’s mount pulled away to win by nearly two lengths. Seventh in the July Cup and third in the Nunthorpe, the five year old looked better than ever in Dubai during the winter winning all three of his races at Meydan. A five lengths winner of a Group 2 over the minimum trip, he then won a Group 3 over six furlongs before taking the Group 1 Al Quoz Sprint by a length and three quarters from Belvoir Boy. Although he handles slow ground, a faster surface is ideal and a stiff five furlongs suits him very well. His record at the track is 1311 and his form figures at Group 1 level are 233491731. James Doyle (24) will partner the son of Shamardal for the first time since September 2017.” Advised @ 3/1 WON the King’s Stand Stakes @ 5/2
Quote: “CRYSTAL OCEAN was a bloodless winner of the Hardwicke Stakes twelve months ago scoring by two and a half lengths. Sir Michael Stoute’s five year old went on to finish a neck second behind stablemate Poet’s Word in the King George and runner-up behind Cracksman in the Champions Stakes over C&D in October. The son of Sea The Stars has looked as good, if not, better than ever this season winning the Gordon Richards Stakes at Sandown and Aston Park Stakes at Newbury for a second time. A two and a quarter lengths winner of the former, he followed up by two lengths from the ill-fated Laraaib in the latter. The drop back to ten furlongs may not be ideal but he looks sharper this season. His record over the trip is 13121 and his course form reads 3122. Runner-up in three starts in Group 1 company, I will be surprised if he doesn’t win at the highest level this year. Frankie Dettori rides him for the first time. The head of Freemason Lodge has won this three times (Hard Fought (1981), Stagecraft (1991) & Poet’s Word (2018)).” Advised @ 4/1 WON the Prince of Wales’s Stakes @ 3/1
Quote: “JAPAN was bought for 1,300,000gns as a yearling and he is a son of Galileo and a full brother to Oaks runner-up Secret Gesture and former Royal Ascot winner Sir Isaac Newton. A short head winner of the Group 2 Beresford Stakes at Naas last year, he was reportedly in need of the run when finishing fourth in the Group 2 Dante Stakes at York. Beaten nearly six lengths, he sharpened up for the outing because he was only beaten half a length in the Epsom Derby finishing third. A reproduction of that effort will see him go very close.” Advised @ 9/4 WON the King Edward VII Stakes @ 6/4
Quote: “CAPE BYRON is related to middle distance performers, namely Ajman Princess and Naqshabban, but he is set to tackle six furlongs for the first time here. The five year old won the Victoria Cup over seven furlongs last month by a neck from Kynren off a mark of 103. His record over seven furlongs is 212271 and his course form is 10271. The Shamardal gelding possesses a high cruising speed and looks well worth a try over this shorter distance. A horse with a touch of class, Roger Varian’s team have been in tremendous form and he is an intriguing runner. Best Price: 14/1 (Bet365).” Advised @ 14/1 WON the Wokingham Stakes @ 7/2
Quote: “CLEONTE has only won 3 of his 22 career starts but the six year old is a useful stayer with an official mark of 105. Bought out of Andre Fabre’s yard at the end of 2016, he benefited from being gelded at the end of the 2017 season. A three parts of a length winner of the Shergar Cup Stayers at Ascot (2m : Good) in August, he was then a length and a half third in the Cesarewitch off a mark of 95. Four lengths third to Dee Ex Bee in the Group 3 Sagaro Stakes in May (conceded a pound), he got bogged down in testing conditions in the Chester Cup last time finishing sixth. Twelfth and ninth in the Ascot Stakes in the past, his overall course record is 04913. Owned by King Power Racing, he will be ridden by Silvestre De Sousa (36) and Andrew Balding won this in 2013 with Chiberta King.” WON the Queen Alexandra Stakes @ 7/2
WINNERS: AUDARYA (1/2 & 100/30), FAYLAQ (3 wins), HIGHER KINGDOM (8/11), LAMPANG (7/2 & 10/11), NAZEEF (3 out of 3), NEVER IN PARIS (6/1), PROMISSORY (1/3), SINCERITY (11/4), SOUTHERN ROCK (2/1, 3/1, 5/6), WANNIE MAE (7/2)
Quote: FAYLAQ: “The head of Somerville Lodge also told me that he expected the impeccably bred Faylaq to improve once tackling middle distance handicaps as a three year old (see page 73 of AOTF). A son of Dubawi out of the King George and Arc winner Danedream, he cost 1,500,000gns as a yearling. Sixth and fifth in a couple of one mile novice stakes at Newmarket last October, he stepped up to ten furlongs at Chester’s May meeting on his return to action and acquitted himself well in fourth. Beaten nearly six lengths behind Ralph Beckett’s Future Investment (won again since and rated 88), he flashed his tail a couple of times late on, which is a concern. However, he looks well treated off 73 and tackles a mile and a half for the first time on his handicap debut at Ripon on Thursday (3.20). It will be disappointing if he doesn’t go close.” WON at Ripon by four and a half lengths off a mark of 73. He won twice more and is now officially rated 107.
Quote: HIGHER KINGDOM: “Moving on to the juvenile scene, Archie Watson has sent out 21 two year old winners already this term and William Haggas’ former assistant is believed to have a smart sort in the unraced Higher Kingdom. A colt by Kingman who is owned by Clipper Logistics, he is a half-brother to Clive Cox’s Wise Counsel and Group 1 runner-up Noozhoh Canarias. That pair prefer softer ground but it remains to be seen whether their younger sibling is similar. Entered in the Redcar Two Year Old Trophy in the Autumn, he is one to watch out for on his racecourse bow.” WON by 4 lengths at Kempton (9/10/19) on his racecourse debut @ 8/11.
Quote: LAMPANG: “Finally, those clients who purchased the Aintree Grand National Update will recall I mentioned an unraced two year old trained by Tim Easterby called Lampang. The King Power Racing owned colt was due to make his debut at Leicester on the first day of the National meeting in April but incurred a setback and still hasn’t been seen in public. A son of Dandy Man, he was bought for £115,000 and I asked his trainer about him at York’s Dante meeting. He has reportedly suffered with Curb, which is an injury to the soft tissue behind the hock. Tim was hoping he would be a Royal Ascot horse and, while the setback is frustrating, he still believes he will develop into a very good horse.” WON his first two starts @ 7/2 & 10/11
Quote: LOGICIAN: “Another well bred three year old owned by Khalid Abdulla, the son of Frankel made a striking impression when winning on his debut at Newbury in May. Sent off 3/1 favourite, he was ridden by Kieran O’Neill and beat eighteen rivals by upwards of two lengths in a ten furlongs maiden. A full-brother to the useful Collide, he overcame a slow start before making good headway with quarter of a mile to travel. Leading with a furlong to run, he stayed on powerfully to beat High Commissioner decisively. John Gosden’s colt will presumably contest a novice event under a penalty before his sights are raised. He promises to be even better over a mile and a half having looked strong at the finish last month. I will be surprised if he isn’t competing in Pattern races by the end of the season.” WON his next 4 starts, including Group 2 Great Voltigeur Stakes & Group 1 St Leger
Quote: NEVER IN PARIS: “Owners Ontoawinner and trainer Karl Burke introduced a promising sort at York on Friday with debutant Asmund going down by half a length in the five furlongs novice event. The same combination are responsible for Never In Paris who is set to make her debut shortly. Bought privately for £32,500, she is a daughter of No Nay Never and is held in high regard at Spigot Lodge. The stable’s juveniles are going well with Classy Moon, Lord of The Lodge and Rayong all winning first time out in recent weeks.” WON @ 6/1 by two and a quarter lengths on her debut at Nottingham (6/7/19)
Quote: SOUTHERN ROCK: “As discussed, with Ascot switching to Sky Sports Racing, I am heading to Hamilton on Wednesday (19th June) for Racing TV. The feature event is the Bothwell Castle Handicap Stakes (61-80) over an extended mile at 4.05 and it is reportedly the target for the David O’Meara trained Southern Rock. The son of New Approach raced twice for Andre Fabre in France finishing third at Longchamp (1m) and fifth at Maisons-Laffitte (6f). Subsequently gelded, he was bought for £30,000 at the Goffs UK January on behalf of Middleham Park Racing and joined the Upper Helmsley team. Making his debut for his new connections in a mile maiden at the same Scottish track in early May, he upset the 1/12 favourite Al Hadeer who had finished runner-up in the Wood Ditton Stakes behind UAE Jewel. Making all, he stayed on strongly to beat William Haggas’ runner by four and a half lengths. Granted an opening mark of 78, he doesn’t look badly treated for his handicap debut this week.” WON @ 2/1 at Hamilton and then won twice more @ 3/1 & 5/6.
Quote: WANNIE MAE: “William Haggas was complimentary regarding Wannie Mae on page 77 of Ahead On The Flat. A daughter of Australia from a stoutly bred German family, she is a half-sister to the useful Flat/jumps performer Landofhopeandglory and was bought for €150,000. Seventh on her debut at Newbury last season behind subsequent Group 3 Musidora Stakes winner Nausha, she was tailed off on fast ground on her return to action at Salisbury last month. However, conditions were very different at Haydock last time (heavy) and she shaped well finishing fourth behind stablemate Monica Sheriff in a mile and a half novice stakes. Soft ground appears to be the key to her and, granted such conditions, she is handicapped to win races off a mark of 66. She gives the impression she will stay a mile and six, if necessary (entered in a 0-85 handicap (1m 4f) at Goodwood on Friday evening (7.30)).” WON @ 7/2 at Goodwood.
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8 WINNERS: VALDERMORO (Advised 7/1 WON @ 9/2), LOGICIAN (Advised @ 11/8 WON @ 10/11), JAPAN (Advised @ 11/2 WON @ 5/1), MUMS TIPPLE (Advised @ 5/1 WON @ 7/2), THREAT (Advised @ 5/2 WON @ 11/10), HAMISH (Advised @ 16/1 WON @ 7/1), ALLIGATOR ALLEY (11/8), QUE AMORO (9/1)
Quote: “VALDERMORO was bought at the breeze-ups for 50,000gns and looks a smart sort for Richard Fahey. Entered in the Champagne, Royal Lodge and Dewhurst Stakes, he was a length and three quarters third behind Mystery Power (won a Group 2 since and rated 112) at Haydock (7f) in June on his debut (runner-up has also won since and is rated 91). The Declaration of War colt then ran out an impressive three and a quarter lengths winner at Doncaster (7f) next time. The runner-up Global Storm filled the same position next time, too. This has been his target since.” Advised @ 7/1 WON the Acomb Stakes @ 9/2
Quote: “LOGICIAN (Unraced Three Year Olds) is featured on page 121 of Ahead On The Flat and John Gosden’s grey is unbeaten in three career starts. Rated 101, the son of Frankel is a full-brother to the high-class middle distance handicapper Collide and he won first time out over ten furlongs at Newbury in May by two lengths. A length and three quarters scorer under a penalty at Newmarket next time, he then stepped up to a mile and a half for the first time at Newbury (Good/Firm). Making his handicap debut off a mark of 90, he galloped his four rivals into submission winning by four and a half lengths. Entered in the St Leger, this is his biggest test to date by some margin but he is progressive and has earned a crack at such a prize. The champion trainer has won this four times (Lucarno (2007), Centennial (2008), Thought Worthy (2012) & Cracksman (2017)).” Advised @ 11/8 WON the Great Voltigeur Stakes @ 10/11
Quote: “JAPAN tackles ten furlongs for the first time since finishing fourth in the Group 2 Dante Stakes over C&D in May. Aidan O’Brien’s colt wasn’t at his best that day though and has progressed markedly since. Half a length third in the Epsom Derby behind Anthony Van Dyck, he then streaked clear to beat Bangkok by four and a half lengths in the Group 2 King Edward VII Stakes at the Royal meeting. The son of Galileo then claimed his first Group 1 win in the Grand Prix de Paris at Longchamp when beating Slalom by half a length – the fourth Roman Candle was beaten a head in Group 2 company last week. Bought for 1,300,000gns, he is a full brother to former stablemate Sir Isaac Newton who was arguably at his best over ten furlongs. Therefore I wouldn’t be unduly concerned about the drop back in distance. The Ballydoyle team have won this a handful of times already.” Advised @ 11/2 WON the Juddmonte International Stakes @ 5/1
Quote: “MUMS TIPPLE runs here in preference to the Group 3 Acomb Stakes on the opening day and the Footstepsinthesand colt didn’t surprise connections when winning on his debut at Ascot (6f) last month. The highly regarded Man of Promise finished third and the fifth (Surf Dancer) hacked up at Leicester next time. Bought for 45,000gns, he is trained by Richard Hannon who has won this with Stormy Clouds (2016) and Tangled (2017). Ryan Moore is set to ride as he attempts to concede weight all round. He holds entries in the Champagne, Mill Reef, Middle Park and Dewhurst Stakes later in the year.” Advised @ 5/1 WON the sales race by 11 lengths @ 7/2
Quote: “THREAT bids to provide Richard Hannon jnr with his first win in a race his father won four times. A colt by Footstepsinthesand, he was an impressive two and a quarter lengths winner on his initial outing at Newmarket’s Guineas meeting over five furlongs. Half a length runner-up in the Coventry Stakes behind Arizona next time, he filled the same position in the Group 2 Richmond Stakes at Goodwood this month. Beaten three parts of a length by Golden Horde (third in the Group 1 Prix Morny since), he has only raced on good ground. Rated 111, this flatter track may suit him better.” Advised @ 5/2 WON the Gimcrack Stakes @ 11/10
Quote: “HAMISH is bred to stay well, being out of Tweed (won 1m 4f) and therefore related to former stablemates Harris Tweed (three times winner over 1m 6f) and Vow. Unraced as a two year old, he was beaten a length on his debut over a mile at Thirsk behind Munhamek (runner-up in the Silver Bowl and rated 89). Stepping up to ten furlongs at Windsor (Good/Soft) in June, he scored easily by seven lengths. William Haggas’ son of Motivator was then forced to carry a seven pounds penalty at Newbury last month finishing a length and a half third. Yet to race beyond ten furlongs, he should relish this longer distance and could prove to be on a good mark (93) for his handicap bow.” Advised @ 16/1 WON the Melrose Stakes @ 7/1
Quote: “ALLIGATOR ART has improved since dropping back to the minimum trip and arrives here with major claims. A son of Kingman who cost 100,000gns as a yearling, Joseph O’Brien’s colt was fourth and third on his first two runs at the Curragh (both over six furlongs). He then won by a handful of lengths over five furlongs at Navan breaking smartly and making all. Stepped up in class, he was deemed an unlucky second in the Group 3 Molecomb Stakes at Goodwood. Beaten a length by the Lowther Stakes bound Liberty Beach, Donnacha O’Brien’s mount met trouble in running before storming home. There has been no Irish trained winner of this since at least 1988.” WON the Roses Stakes @ 11/8
Quote: “The Michael Dods trained pair Holmeswood and Intense Romance dead-heated for first place in this race two years ago and the Darlington trainer may have the answer to the 2019 renewal. QUE AMORO was a mighty impressive seven lengths winner over five and a half furlongs at the track last month making all. I spoke to her rider Paul Mulrennan afterwards and he attributed the performance down to the change of tactics. They had previously been holding her up. A daughter of Es Que Love, she is blessed with lightning early speed and her course record is 21. Despite a ten pounds rise to a mark of 90, she may take some pegging back.” WON @ 9/1
THE JUVENILE SCENE: WINNERS: ANASTARSIA (3/1), CAPE PALACE (4/11), FANTASY BELIEVER (4/1), HIGHER KINGDOM (8/11), IMPATIENT (7/1), LOUISIANA (4/5), PALACE PIER (11/8, 1/8), PEACEFUL (8/11), QUEEN DAENERYS (5/4), ROYAL CRUSADE (5/6)
Quote: “Champion trainer John Gosden has produced 8 two year old winners this year and it won’t be long before CAPE PALACE makes his debut. Owned by Godolphin, he is by Golden Horn out of a dual Listed winner in Italy and cost 300,000gns as a foal. He is entered in the Group 1 Dewhurst Stakes and is considered useful. Sheikh Mohammed’s set up also own PALACE PIER, a son of Kingman who cost 600,000gns. He, too, is entered in the Dewhurst Stakes at HQ in October.” CAPE PALACE & PALACE PIER both won on their debuts.
Quote: “Stablemate ROYAL CRUSADE is also held in high regard and is entered in the Champagne, Middle Park and Dewhurst Stakes this Autumn. A son of Shamardal, he is out of Zibelina who was a Listed and Group 3 winner for Godolphin. He is very much one to watch out for on his debut.” WON on his debut at Newmarket (23/8/19) @ 5/6
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CAMBRIDGESHIRE: LORD NORTH (Advised @ 10/1 WON @ 9/2)
Quote: “LORD NORTH (Top 40) is another unexposed three year old trained by John Gosden who runs off a mark of 98 and is four pounds ‘well in’ compared to the future. A winning juvenile at Redcar last year, the son of Dubawi was a facile winner on his return to action at Newcastle (two runner race) in the spring. Stepped up in class, he was last of eight in the Listed Heron Stakes at Sandown next time. Gelded and absent for 106 days, he made an encouraging return to action when finishing half a length runner-up behind the in-form Bless Him at Ascot this month. Making his handicap debut, he led over a furlong out but couldn’t withstand the late thrust of David Simcock’s Yarmouth winner. Yet to race beyond a mile, he is bred to appreciate this longer trip being a half-brother to a ten furlongs winner. The champion trainer bids to win the race for a fifth time following the victories of (Halling (3yo) (1994), Pipedreamer (3yo) (2007), Tazeez (2008) and Wissahickon (3yo) (2018)). Frankie Dettori rides him for the first time and he is drawn in stall 29. Best Price: 10/1 (BetVictor, Coral, Ladbrokes, William Hill).” Advised @ 10/1 WON the Cambridgeshire @ 9/2
MIDDLE PARK STAKES: EARTHLIGHT (11/4)
Quote: “EARTHLIGHT represents Andre Fabre who has won this twice (Lycius (1990) & Zieten (1992)) and the son of Shamardal is unbeaten in four starts. Having been successful at Maisons-Laffitte (5.5f) and Deauville (6f), he returned to the same track in July to win a Group 3 contest by four lengths from Godolphin’s Well of Wisdom (runner-up in another Group 3 since and rated 104). He then made it four out of four in the Group 1 Prix Morny at Deauville when beating Mark Johnston’s top-class filly Raffle Prize by a neck – the Richmond Stakes winner Golden Horde was third, the Coventry Stakes winner Arizona was fourth, and Norfolk Stakes and subsequent Flying Childers Stakes winner A’Ali was fifth. A winner on good and heavy ground, he is reportedly being aimed at next year’s 2000 Guineas and it will take a very smart horse to beat him.” WON @ 11/4
WINNERS: HIGHER KINGDOM (8/11), VICTOR LUDORUM (9/5)
Quote: “Finally, I received an email from Joe Foley (Clipper Logistics) last weekend informing me that HIGHER KINGDOM will be making his debut shortly. Joe told me about the son of Kingman at the Cheltenham Festival and he is held in high regard by Archie Watson. Don’t miss him either on his debut.” WON by four lengths on his debut at Kempton (9/10/19)
Quote: “Champion trainer John Gosden has sent out 19 juvenile winners in 2019 and the unraced KING LEONIDAS can add to that tally before the end of the year, if his homework is anything to go by. Owned by Sheikh Hamdan Bin Mohammed Al Maktoum, he is a son of Kingman who cost 750,000gns as a yearling. Entered in the Group 1 Futurity Trophy at Doncaster next month, he is one to watch out for on his racecourse debut.” WON on his debut at Newmarket (23/10/19) @ 13/8
Quote: “The unbeaten VICTOR LUDORUM has looked a potentially top-class colt in the making in his two starts to date. Owned by Godolphin and trained by Andre Fabre, he is a son of Shamardal and won by three and a half lengths on his debut over C&D in early September (stablemate Waldgeist won the same race in 2016). Reappearing thirteen days later at Chantilly, he challenged with two furlongs to run before bounding clear to win by the same margin. Both runs have been on good ground and he looks ready for this rise in class. The multiple champion trainer has won this Group 1 prize on four occasions and it will take a smart colt to beat him.” WON the Group 1 Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere at Longchamp @ 9/5
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